Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Daily Commentary by Larry Baer 5.16.2012


Daily Commentary by Larry Baer:  A stronger-than-expected report on April housing starts did not generate much of a reaction from mortgage investors.  Traders also wasted little time shrugging off a stronger-than-forecast rise in April Industrial Production.  Modestly improving economic data here in the states continues to take a back-seat to financial drama playing out in Greece and other euro-zone countries.  
The Greek political struggles dramatically increase the likelihood the country will go bankrupt before the summer is out.  The threat of such an outcome and the impact it could have on other countries in the region continues to fuel the global "flight-to-quality" buying of U.S. dollar denominated assets like Treasury debt obligations and agency eligible mortgage-backed securities - a credit market condition highly supportive of the near-term prospects for steady to perhaps fractionally lower mortgage interest rates.       

THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT! . YOU AND I ARE SOME OF THE TIME