Wednesday, May 9, 2012

Daily Commentary by Larry Baer 5.9.2012


 Daily Commentary by Larry Baer:  The developing political stalemate in Greece and growing concerns about Spain's ailing banking sector continues to fuel strong global "flight-to-quality" demand for U.S. dollar denominated assets likely Treasury debt obligations and agency eligible mortgage-backed securities --  a phenomenon that is almost single-handedly supporting the near-term prospects for steady to perhaps fractionally lower mortgage interest rates.
The Treasury Department is set to sell $24 billion of 10-year notes today.  The auction will conclude at 1:00 p.m. ET and I'll provide the result on my website as quickly as possible thereafter.  This event is unlikely to influence the trend trajectory of mortgage interest rates one way or the other.
As they do every Wednesday, the Mortgage Bankers of America have released their Mortgage Application Survey figures for the week ended May 4th.  Overall application traffic rose 1.7%.  Purchase money demand posted a 3.4% gain - extending its three-week winning streak.  Refinance requests rose 1.3%, the first improvement in this component of the index since early April.  Refinance applications accounted for 72% of all applications taken during the week and 70% of this month's anticipated total loan volume.
The contract rate for 30-year fixed rate conforming mortgages finished at 4.01%, down 4 basis-points from the prior week, down 9 basis-points from its mark from four-weeks ago and down 74 basis points from the year ago level.

THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT! . YOU AND I ARE SOME OF THE TIME