Tuesday, April 2, 2013

Daily Commentary by Larry Baer 4.2.2013



Daily Commentary by Larry Baer:  The mortgage market is drifting listlessly this morning with investors choosing to take a cautious stance in front of Friday's March nonfarm payroll report and next week's three-part Treasury debt auction featuring 3- and 10-year notes and 30-year bonds. 
As expected, today's February Factory Orders report drew nothing more than a passing glance from mortgage investors.  The Commerce Department said orders for manufactured goods climbed 3.0% in February - driven almost exclusively by a 95.1% surge in civilian aircraft demand.  Gains in new orders were modest when volatile categories like transportation are stripped out.  Orders excluding transportation equipment increased a very modest 0.3%. 
For what it is worth - Fannie Mae announced earlier today it posted a $17.2 billion annual profit for 2012, its largest ever yearly gain and its first profit in six years.  To put Fannie Mae's 2012 financial performance in a little sharper perspective - the company posted a year-earlier loss of $16.9 billion.   In case you are wondering, last month Freddie Mac posted an $11 billion record profit for 2012.
Fannie Mae has now paid back about $35.6 billion in dividends to the Treasury against the $116 billion it borrowed from the American taxpayers.  For its part Freddie Mac has paid back $23.8 billion of the $71.3 billion it borrowed from the government to stay afloat.   
As a reader of this commentary you no doubt played at least a small part in the success these two entities achieved last year - and so to each of you on behalf of all taxpayers I say - congratulations on a job well done - keep up the good work.     

THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT! . YOU AND I ARE SOME OF THE TIME