Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Daily Commentary by Larry Baer 10.23.2012



Daily Commentary by Larry Baer:  The Treasury Department will sell $35 billion of 2-year notes at auction today.  The final gavel will fall at 1:00 p.m.  The short duration of these notes should draw a solid bid from domestic and foreign investors alike.  If so, this event will probably prove to be supportive of steady to slightly mortgage interest rate friendly.
Earlier today the members of the Federal Open Market Committee gather for the first of a two-day monetary policy strategy meeting.  Market participants largely agree the Fed is almost certain to hold off from making any changes to existing policy opting instead to keep a low profile as the clock ticks down to the presidential election on November 6th. 
Trading action in the stock markets will once again likely prove to be the strongest single determinant influencing the trend trajectory of mortgage interest rates this week.  Higher stock prices will tend to drag rates higher while falling stock prices are almost certain to prove supportive of the prospects for steady to perhaps fractionally lower mortgage interest rates.
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT! . YOU AND I ARE SOME OF THE TIME