Friday, September 21, 2012

Daily Commentary by Larry Baer 9.21.2012



Daily Commentary by Larry Baer:  With an empty economic calendar today mortgage investors will likely take directional cues from stock prices as they set mortgage interest rates.  Should stock prices trade notably higher look for mortgage rates to remain steady to fractionally higher.  It will likely take a rather sharp sell-off in the stock markets to provide enough momentum to drag mortgage interest rates lower from current levels.
Looking head to the coming week -- Wednesday's August New Home Sales figures and Thursday's trifecta of August Durable Goods Orders, weekly jobless claims numbers and the final revision to Q2 Gross Domestic Product will all be overshadowed by the Treasury Department's three-part, $99 billion note auction schedule to run from Tuesday through Thursday.   $35 billion of 2-year notes will hit the auction block on Tuesday, followed by $35 billion of 5-year notes on Wednesday and the whole thing will wrap-up with the sale of $29 billion of 7-year notes on Thursday.  Demand for all three offerings is expected to be strong enough to avoid creating much, if any upward pressure on mortgage interest rates.
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT! . YOU AND I ARE SOME OF THE TIME