Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Daily Commentary by Larry Baer 7.25.2012


Daily Commentary by Larry Baer:  The Commerce Department reported earlier this morning the pace of new home sales in June fell by the most in more than a year.  New Home sales tumbled 8.4% -- marking its largest monthly decline since February 2011.  The new home sales figure for May was revised higher by 13,000 units - which took a little of the sting out of the otherwise poor showing for June.  This data continues to reinforce the broadly held view among mortgage investors that housing continues to be challenged by high unemployment and stringent lending conditions.  While the June new home sales figure was notably softer than had been expected - the reaction in the credit markets was muted as participants are become increasingly calloused to one more report falling in line with an already long-running string of very weak economic numbers.  
As they do every Wednesday, the Mortgage Bankers of America have released their Mortgage Application Survey figures for the week ended July 20th.  Overall mortgage application activity rose 0.9% for the period - driven by a 1.8% increase in refinance requests.  In contrast, the number of requests for purchase-money mortgages declined by 3.2% on a week-over-week basis.  Refinance applications accounted for 80.8% of all applications and 79.4% of the prospective loan volume.
The contract rate for 30-year fixed-rate conforming mortgages finished at 3.74%, unchanged from the prior week but down 14 basis-points from the month-ago mark and down 88 basis-points from this time one-year ago.
THE MARKET IS ALWAYS RIGHT! . YOU AND I ARE SOME OF THE TIME